Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Independiente

Rios (36', 36'), Gomez (45+3' pen., 45+3' pen.)

FT(HT: 5-0)

Diaz (64', 64')
Caicedo (30'), Caicedo (30'), Landazuri (44'), Landazuri (44')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Independiente
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Independiente del Valle
64.55% ( 0.13)	20.54% ( -0.07)	14.91% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.44% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

0.19)

45.59% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

0.18)

67.91% (

-0.19)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62% (

0.1)

13.38% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.72% (

0.2)

40.28% (

-0.2)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.07% (

0.04)

42.93% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.77% (

0.03)

79.23% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 64.54%

Independiente del Valle 14.91%

Draw 20.54%

Palmeiras	Draw	Independiente del Valle
2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 64.54%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.54%	0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.91%