Copa Libertadores
May 9, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • Alexis Cuello 16' goal
  • Adam Bareiro 22' yellowcard
  • Adam Bareiro 24' goal
  • Agustin Giay 58' yellowcard
  • Jhohan Romana 87' redcard
  • yellowcard Renato Ibarra 27'
  • yellowcard Mateo Carabajal 41'
  • yellowcard Kendry Paez 73'

San Lorenzo vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 24, 2024 1.00am
Liverpool 1 - 0 San Lorenzo

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
Independiente 2 - 3 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

San Lorenzo 35.5% (-0.09)
Draw 28.75% (-0.01)
Independiente del Valle 35.75% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.59% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.04% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 60.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 19.04% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 80.96% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 7.79% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 92.21% (-0.02)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 67.44% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 32.56% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.1% (+0.05)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 67.6% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 32.4% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 31.09% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 68.91% (-0.10)

Score analysis

San Lorenzo 35.49%
Draw 28.74%
Independiente del Valle 35.75%
San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.54% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.74%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 11.89% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.52% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.7% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.75%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 10, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Banco Guayaquil
  • Junior Sornoza 13' goal
  • Beder Caicedo 14' yellowcard
  • Javier Gandolfi 15' yellowcard
  • Francisco Perruzzi 32' yellowcard
  • Michael Hoyos 45'+1' goal
  • Guido Carrillo 65' goal
  • Edwuin Cetre 81' goal
  • goal Enrique Triverio 21'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Barrios 32'
  • yellowcard Kendry Paez 32'
  • yellowcard Adam Bareiro 71'
  • yellowcard Gaston Campi 83'