Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento

Liverpool
1 - 1
Independiente

Rodriguez (79', 79')
Rodriguez (11'), Rodriguez (11')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ortiz (8', 8')
Kleiver Mercado Altamirano (30'), Mercado (30'), Zabala (53'), Zabala (53')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Independiente del Valle
30.26% ( -0.13)	27.36% ( -0.09)	42.38% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.16% (

0.29)

56.84% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.23% (

0.23)

77.77% (

-0.23)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

0.06)

34.06% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.26% (

0.06)

70.74% (

-0.06)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49% (

0.25)

26.5% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3% (

0.34)

61.7% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 30.26%

Independiente del Valle 42.37%

Draw 27.36%

Liverpool	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.26%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.37%