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Copa Libertadores

Liverpool (Uruguay)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Centenario
San Lorenzo

Liverpool
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

Nicola Albanell (90+5', 90+5')
Rodriguez (62'), Rodriguez (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lujan (43'), Lujan (43'), Romana (48'), Romana (48'), Remedi (87'), Remedi (87')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Defensor
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, April 15 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.71%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.08%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawSan Lorenzo
33.34% (-0.329 -0.33)30.95% (0.11 0.11)35.71% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 39.66% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)67.99% (0.32799999999999 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.07% (-0.218 -0.22)85.93% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (-0.422 -0.42)37.85% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (-0.412 -0.41)74.62% (0.414 0.41)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)36.18% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.97% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 33.33%
    San Lorenzo 35.7%
    Draw 30.94%
LiverpoolDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 33.33%
0-0 @ 13.69% (0.16 0.16)
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.94%
0-1 @ 13.92% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 35.7%