Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 12, 2024 at 1am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
3 - 1
Liverpool

Moreno (45+5', 45+5', 45+5'), Manuel Lopez (58', 58', 58'), Willian Almeida de Oliveira Goncalves (66', 66'), Willian (66')
Manuel Lopez (21'), Manuel Lopez (21'), Manuel Lopez (21'), Moreno (31'), Moreno (31'), Moreno (31')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Rosso (3', 3', 3')
Samudio (14'), Samudio (14'), Samudio (14'), Garcia (45'), Cayetano (45+1'), Ocampo (45+6'), Garcia (45'), Cayetano (45+1'), Ocampo (45+6'), Garcia (45'), Cayetano (45+1'), Ocampo (45+6'), Rodriguez Elduayen (72'), Rodriguez Elduayen (72'), Rodriguez Elduayen (72')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Liverpool

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fenix 1-3 Liverpool
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 7.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 3-0 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Liverpool
76.39% ( 0.26)	16.02% ( -0.1)	7.58% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 38.97% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

-0.13)

45.59% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.08% (

-0.12)

67.91% (

0.12)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.86% (

0.03)

10.14% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.66% (

0.08)

33.34% (

-0.08)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.36% (

-0.5)

56.64% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.16% (

-0.28)

88.83% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 76.38%

Liverpool 7.58%

Draw 16.02%

Palmeiras	Draw	Liverpool
2-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 76.38%	1-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 16.02%	0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 7.58%