Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.