Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 9, 2024 at 11pm UK

Complejo Daniel Marsicano

Liverpool
0 - 5
Palmeiras

Gonzalez (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Veiga (44', 71'), Endrick (82'), Rony (90+1'), Gomez (90+6' pen.)
Menino (49'), Endrick (85'), Gonzalez (89')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Penarol
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.8%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Palmeiras
11.8% ( 0.06)	22.22% ( 0.06)	65.97% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 36.89% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.87% (

-0.07)

58.13% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21% (

-0.06)

78.79% (

0.05)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.48% (

0.07)

55.51% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.81% (

0.04)

88.19% (

-0.05)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

-0.07)

17.08% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

-0.12)

47.27% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 11.8%

Palmeiras 65.95%

Draw 22.23%

Liverpool	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.8%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 16.75% 0-2 @ 14.8% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 65.95%