Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.