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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Atletico Mineiro

Rosario
0 - 1
Atletico Mineiro


Martinez (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paulinho (87')
Saravia (27'), Paulinho (57'), Battaglia (68'), Vargas (78')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caracas 1-1 Rosario
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Mineiro
30.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 28.75% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 40.74% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.66% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.33% (0.034999999999997 0.03)61.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.51% (0.026 0.03)81.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)36.45% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.24% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.031000000000006 0.03)29.71% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.77% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 30.51%
    Atletico Mineiro 40.73%
    Draw 28.75%
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.51%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 40.73%

How you voted: Rosario vs Atletico Mineiro

Rosario Central
18.2%
Draw
27.3%
Atletico Mineiro
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Rosario
Scarpa (39'), Paulinho (77')
Arana (29'), Jemerson (36')
Malcorra (74')
Campaz (37'), O'Connor (81'), Mallo (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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