Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

Rosario
0 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Martinez (24')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paulinho (87')
Saravia (27'), Paulinho (57'), Battaglia (68'), Vargas (78')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rosario Central

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Caracas 1-1 Rosario
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Rosario Central	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
30.51% ( -0.01)	28.75% ( -0.01)	40.74% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.66% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.33% (

0.03)

61.66% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.51% (

0.03)

81.49% (

-0.03)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

0.01)

36.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

0.01)

73.24% (

-0.01)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

0.03)

29.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

0.04)

65.77% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Rosario Central 30.51%

Atletico Mineiro 40.73%

Draw 28.75%

Rosario Central	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.51%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.75%	0-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.73%