Copa Libertadores
Apr 24, 2024 1.00am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Gustavo Scarpa 15' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 15' goal
  • Paulinho 26' goal
  • Paulinho 26' goal
  • Renzo Saravia 40' yellowcard
  • Renzo Saravia 40' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 57' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 57' goal
  • Otavio 71' yellowcard
  • Otavio 71' yellowcard
  • Jemerson 80' yellowcard
  • Jemerson 80' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 81' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Darias 41'
  • goal Maximiliano Olivera 60'
  • goal Maximiliano Olivera 60'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 68'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 68'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 82'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Olivera 82'
  • yellowcard Diego Aguirre 90'
  • yellowcard Gaston Ramirez 90'+3'

Atletico Mineiro vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2024 11.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Rosario

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 11, 2024 1.00am
Penarol 5 - 0 Caracas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 15.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 63.88% (+0.19)
Draw 20.59% (-0.10)
Penarol 15.53% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.76% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.41% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 44.59% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 33.04% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 66.96% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 16.82% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 83.18% (-0.17)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 86.73% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 13.27% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 59.94% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 40.06% (-0.26)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 58.53% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.47% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 22.03% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.97% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 63.87%
Draw 20.59%
Penarol 15.53%
Atletico Mineiro
2-0 @ 11.22%
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.56% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.65% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.82% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.36% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 63.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.59%
Penarol
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 15.53%