Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 2
Apr 18, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 1
Criciuma

Scarpa (40', 40')
Arana (56'), Arana (56'), Franco (83'), Franco (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Matheusinho (84', 84')
Rodrigo (36'), Fagundes de Freitas (37'), Hermes (45+8'), Hermes (45+8'), Meritao (82'), Meritao (82'), Machado dos Santos (90+8'), Alisson (90+8')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Criciuma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Juventude
Saturday, April 13 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCriciuma
61.37% (0.803 0.8)22.19% (-0.284 -0.28)16.43% (-0.52 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (0.297 0.3)49.7% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (0.266 0.27)71.71% (-0.268 -0.27)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.369 0.37)15.71% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.681 0.68)44.79% (-0.683 -0.68)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.62% (-0.484 -0.48)43.37% (0.483 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.39% (-0.406 -0.41)79.6% (0.40400000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 61.37%
    Criciuma 16.43%
    Draw 22.19%
Atletico MineiroDrawCriciuma
1-0 @ 12.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.67% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.2% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 61.37%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.43%