Copa Libertadores
Apr 4, 2024 11.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
  • Danny Perez 54' goal
  • goal Bruno Fuchs 12'
  • goal Guilherme Arana 32'
  • goal Paulinho 44'
  • goal Paulinho 70'

Caracas vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

All competitions

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Caracas win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result

Caracas 22.94% (-0.08)
Draw 27.4% (-0.05)
Atletico Mineiro 49.66% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.13% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.98% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 61.02% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 18.99% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 81.01% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 7.76% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 92.24% (-0.04)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5 57.34% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.66% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79% (+0.03)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 75.21% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 24.79% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 40.64% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 59.36% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Caracas 22.94%
Draw 27.4%
Atletico Mineiro 49.64%
Caracas
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.57% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.4%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 14.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.28% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.76% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.78% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 49.64%