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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Atletico Mineiro

Caracas
1 - 4
Atletico Mineiro

Perez (54')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Fuchs (12'), Arana (32'), Paulinho (44', 70')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Caracas 0-1 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 4-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Caracas win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
CaracasDrawAtletico Mineiro
22.94% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)27.4% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)49.66% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 43.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (0.095999999999997 0.1)61.02% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (0.071999999999999 0.07)81.01% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.34% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)42.66% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)79% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.101 0.1)24.79% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.14 0.14)59.36% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 22.94%
    Atletico Mineiro 49.64%
    Draw 27.4%
CaracasDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.94%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 14.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.78% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 49.64%

How you voted: Caracas vs Atletico Mineiro

Caracas
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Atletico Mineiro
57.1%
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