Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 0
Nacional


Ramirez (79')
FT

Carneiro (38'), Sanabria (55'), Mejia (59'), Bentancourt (80'), Oliva (80'), Cairus (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, March 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Saturday, March 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawNacional
47.37% (-0.7 -0.7)26.65% (0.253 0.25)25.98% (0.453 0.45)
Both teams to score 47.87% (-0.346 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68% (-0.634 -0.63)56.32% (0.639 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65% (-0.514 -0.51)77.35% (0.52 0.52)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)23.79% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (-0.867 -0.87)57.95% (0.873 0.87)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (0.041999999999994 0.04)37.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (0.038999999999998 0.04)73.98% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 47.37%
    Nacional 25.98%
    Draw 26.64%
PenarolDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.215 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.222 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.98%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-2
Penarol
Ramirez (30'), Baez (63')
Baez (63'), Baez (64'), Rodriguez (73')
Fagundez (35'), Suarez (35'), Suarez (36')
Neris (48'), Hernandez (87')
Coelho (15'), Gonzalez (31'), Rodriguez (72')
Coelho (35')
Apr 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
2-0
Nacional
Mendez (78'), Laquintana (90')
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Penarol
Laborda (45+1'), Suarez (53'), Candido (76')
Lozano (12'), Zabala (90+7')
Mendez (61')
Rak (14'), Rossi (77'), Lozano (86'), Da Silveira (90+8')
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
1-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (59'), Gargano (78'), Dawson (90+2')
Carballo (13'), Trezza (45'), Polenta (56'), Zunino (59'), Almeida (80'), Ocampo (88')