Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 29, 2024 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Gaston Ramirez 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Carneiro 38'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanabria 55'
  • yellowcard Luis Mejia 59'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 80'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 80'
  • yellowcard Felipe Cairus 90'+3'

Penarol vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 10.30pm
Racing 1 - 2 Penarol
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Leonardo Fernandez

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 9.30pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Progreso
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 47.37% (-0.70)
Draw 26.65% (+0.26)
Nacional 25.98% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.87% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.68% (-0.64)
Under 2.5 56.32% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 22.65% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 77.35% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 9.9% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 90.1% (+0.32)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 76.21% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 23.79% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 42.05% (-0.87)
Under 1.5 57.95% (+0.88)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 62.81% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 37.19% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.02% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.98% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Penarol 47.37%
Draw 26.64%
Nacional 25.98%
Penarol
1-0 @ 12.7% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.85% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.64%
Nacional
0-1 @ 8.75% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 6.21% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.33% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 25.98%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Nov 11, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Ignacio Ramirez 30' goal
  • Franco Fagundez 35' redcard
  • Ignacio Suarez 35' redcard
  • Ignacio Suarez 36' redcard
  • Gabriel Baez 63' goal
  • Gabriel Baez 63' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 64' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 15'
  • yellowcard Franco Gonzalez 31'
  • redcard Leo Coelho 35'
  • goal Jose Neris 48'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rodriguez 72'
  • goal Lucas Hernandez 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Kevin Mendez 78' goal
  • Ignacio Laquintana 90' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Leandro Lozano 12' yellowcard
  • Mathias Laborda 45'+1' goal
  • Luis Suarez 53' goal
  • Camilo Candido 76' goal
  • Diego Zabala 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yonatthan Rak 14'
  • goal Kevin Mendez 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Rossi 77'
  • yellowcard Brian Lozano 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Da Silveira 90'+8'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 27, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Pablo Ceppelini 32' goal
  • Pablo Ceppelini 40' redcard
  • Ramon Arias 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 42'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 49'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gigliotti 77'
  • redcard Emmanuel Gigliotti 82'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Trasante 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Pablo Ceppelini 59' yellowcard
  • Walter Gargano 78' yellowcard
  • Kevin Dawson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Carballo 13'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 45'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 56'
  • yellowcard Matias Zunino 59'
  • yellowcard Christian Almeida 80'
  • yellowcard Brian Ocampo 88'
Copa Sudamericana
Jul 23, 2021 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Juan Acosta 62' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Gonzalez 83' yellowcard
  • Damian Musto 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Cantera 20'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 62'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 83'
  • redcard Felipe Carballo 90'+4'
  • redcard Maximiliano Cantera 90'+10'
  • goal Guzman Corujo 90'+11'