Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Nacional
Feb 16, 2024 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
River Plate
  • Diego Polenta 53' yellowcard
  • Juan Izquierdo 65' yellowcard
  • Mateo Antoni 83' goal
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 87' goal
  • Gonzalo Carneiro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Diaz 75'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Lavega 89'
  • goal Joaquin Lavega 90'+2'

Nacional vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
Nacional 1 - 1 Torque
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

River Plate

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Dec 6, 2023 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 River Plate
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Joaquin Lavega

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 43.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 27.67% ▲ (+0.01)
River Plate 28.97% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 73.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 37.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.01% ▲ (+0.02)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 64.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Nacional 43.35%
Draw 27.67%
River Plate 28.97%
Nacional
1-0 @ 12.66%
2-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.67%
River Plate
0-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 28.97%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
River Plate
Nov 4, 2023 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Nacional
  • Facundo Kidd 41' yellowcard
  • Walter Gargano 70' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Viera 88' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz De los Santos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 23'
  • goal Daniel Bocanegra 49'
  • goal Gonzalo Carneiro 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Nacional
Mar 26, 2023 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
River Plate
  • Marcos Montiel 38' goal
  • Diego Zabala 53' goal
  • Camilo Candido 89' goal
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
River Plate
Sep 17, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
Nacional
  • Thiago Borbas 67' goal
  • goal Mathias Laborda 54'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Nacional
Jun 18, 2022 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
River Plate
  • Emmanuel Gigliotti 26' goal
  • Diego Zabala 57' goal
  • Camilo Candido 66' yellowcard
  • Camilo Candido 68' redcard
  • Martin Rodriguez 71' yellowcard
  • Leandro Lozano 80' goal
  • Leo Coelho 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Napoli 8'
  • yellowcard Santiago Brunelli 30'
  • yellowcard Maxi Pereira 63'
  • yellowcard Salvador Ichazo 64'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Nacional
Apr 17, 2022 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
River Plate
  • Camilo Candido 75' yellowcard
  • Camilo Candido 81' redcard
  • Sergio Rochet 81' yellowcard
  • Franco Fagundez 82' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Rodriguez 86' yellowcard
  • Brian Ocampo 90' goal
  • Leandro Otormin 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Alfonso 9'
  • goal 12'
  • yellowcard Marcos Montiel 42'
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Maxi Pereira 49'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Diaz 51'
  • redcard Horacio Salaberry 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Nacional
Dec 4, 2021 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
River Plate
  • Leandro Fernandez 23' yellowcard
  • Christian Almeida 26' goal
  • Santiago Brunelli 53' goal
  • Santiago Brunelli 61' goal
  • Leandro Fernandez 62' goal
  • goal Thiago Borbas 1'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bonifazi 45'
  • yellowcard Luciano Boggio 59'
  • goal Marcos Montiel 90'

Form Data

Nacional 1 - 1 Torque
Nacional 1 - 0 Defensor
La Luz 0 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 3 - 1 Wanderers
Fenix 1 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 3 Danubio
Liverpool 2 - 1 River Plate
River Plate 1 - 2 Torque
Defensor 0 - 1 River Plate
River Plate 1 - 0 La Luz
Wanderers 2 - 1 River Plate
River Plate 1 - 0 Fenix