MX23RW : Friday, March 1 16:43:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
River Plate
1 - 2
Torque
Barros (35')
Barros (44'), Dos Santos (79'), Brunelli (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Siri (15'), Catarozzi (81')
Pizzichillo (20'), Guerrero (34')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 0-1 River Plate
Thursday, November 30 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 5-1 Maldonado
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawMontevideo City Torque
29.49% (-0.772 -0.77) 26.94% (-0.208 -0.21) 43.56% (0.981 0.98)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (0.485 0.48)55.59% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (0.395 0.4)76.75% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (-0.322 -0.32)33.97% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (-0.349 -0.35)70.65% (0.349 0.35)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.72500000000001 0.73)25.32% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.984 0.98)60.1% (-0.983 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 29.49%
    Montevideo City Torque 43.56%
    Draw 26.94%
River PlateDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-1 @ 6.89% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.49%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.074 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.56%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 5
Torque
0-1
River Plate

Joaquin Correa Bertolino (71'), Alvarez (90+2')
Dos Santos (87')
Lavega (73'), Salaberry (78'), Dos Santos (84'), Bernardo Vera Flores (90+4')
May 8, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 14
Torque
1-1
River Plate
Altez (35')
Oct 21, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 15
River Plate
2-1
Torque
Sosa (57'), Brunelli (83')
Guruceaga (80' pen.)
Jun 3, 2022 11.15pm
Gameweek 15
Torque
0-0
River Plate
Catarozzi (20'), Allende (45+2')
Alfonso (57')
(37')
Nov 22, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 13
Torque
1-1
River Plate
Teuten (62')
Pizzichillo (38'), Pereira (77'), Pereyra (90+4'), (90+6')
Arezo (66')
Bone (42'), Napoli (90+5'), (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!