Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15

Dec 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 1
Torque

Carneiro (55')
Baez (27'), Rodriguez (41'), Martinez (51'), Polenta (90+3'), Carneiro (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Catarozzi (15')
Villa (16'), Alvarez (24'), Palacios (33'), Catarozzi (59'), Morales (81'), Tinaglini (90')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Defensor
Monday, December 4 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Torque
Saturday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
52.84% ( -0.84)	24.01% ( 0.45)	23.15% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

-1.5)

48.32% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.53% (

-1.39)

70.46% (

1.38)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76% (

-0.87)

18.24% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73% (

-1.5)

49.27% (

1.5)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69% (

-0.48)

35.3% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

-0.5)

72.06% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Nacional 52.83%

Montevideo City Torque 23.15%

Draw 24%

Nacional	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.83%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.15%