MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 17:15:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Defensor
Nacional
1 - 0
Defensor
Rodriguez (81')
Lozano (33'), Chagas (45'), Chagas (45+1'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (29'), De Los Santos (44'), Bernal (65')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: La Luz 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, November 30 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 River Plate
Thursday, November 30 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
40.61% (-0.831 -0.83) 26.83% (0.313 0.31) 32.55% (0.522 0.52)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-1.112 -1.11)54.17% (1.116 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (-0.937 -0.94)75.58% (0.94099999999999 0.94)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.944 -0.94)26.21% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-1.286 -1.29)61.31% (1.29 1.29)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)31.06% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.247 -0.25)67.37% (0.25099999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 40.61%
    Defensor Sporting 32.55%
    Draw 26.83%
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.354 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.176 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.55%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
2-2
Nacional
Candido (38' og.), Barcia (70')
Fagundez (17'), Ramirez (53' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Trezza (34')
Elizari (46')
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Defensor
0-1
Nacional

Rocha (63')
Ramirez (76')
Carballo (33'), Lozano (90+4')
May 14, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 12
Defensor
0-2
Nacional

Mallo (68'), Balboa (85'), Sant'Anna (85')
Gigliotti (5'), Candido (77')
Monzeglio (23'), Trezza (40'), Coelho (53'), Gigliotti (87')
Mar 8, 2021 12.45am
rhs 2.0
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