Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
14
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-
Ignacio Ramirez
3'
-
Leandro Lozano
33'
-
Rodrigo Chagas
45'
-
Rodrigo Chagas
45'+1'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
74'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
81'
-
Yonatan Rodriguez
82'
-
Enzo Martinez
29'
-
Guillermo De Los Santos
44'
-
Facundo Bernal
65'
Nacional vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
Result
Nacional
40.61%
▼
(-0.84)
Draw
26.83%
▲
(+0.32)
Defensor Sporting
32.55%
▲
(+0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
50.87%
▼
(-0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.83%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 2.5
54.17%
▲
(+1.12)
Over 3.5
24.42%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 3.5
75.58%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 4.5
10.99%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 4.5
89.01%
▲
(+0.60)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
73.79%
▼
(-0.95)
Under 0.5
26.21%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 1.5
38.69%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 1.5
61.31%
▲
(+1.29)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5
68.94%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
31.06%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 1.5
32.63%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
67.37%
▲
(+0.26)
Score analysis
Nacional
40.61%
Draw
26.83%
Defensor Sporting
32.55%
Nacional
1-0
@
10.9%
▲
(+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.61%
2-1 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.61%
Draw
1-1
@
12.74%
▲
(+0.14)
0-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.83%
0-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.83%
Defensor Sporting
0-1
@
9.52%
▲
(+0.36)
1-2 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.55%
1-2 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.55%
Head to Head
Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
-
Gonzalo Bergessio
38'
-
Mathias Laborda
43'
-
Ignacio Lores
48'
-
Emiliano Martinez
51'
-
Ayrton Cougo
62'
-
Joaquin Trasante
68'
-
Mathias Laborda
70'
-
Renzo Rabino
9'
-
Vicente Poggi
15'
-
Kevin Mendez
28'
-
Alvaro Navarro
70'