Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Defensor

Maldonado
2 - 1
Defensor

Martinez (30' og.), Gonzalez (62')
Cartagena (41'), de Leon (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valiente (39')
Navarro (85'), De Los Santos (90+9')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Last Game: Maldonado 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, November 19 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 2-0 Boston River
Monday, November 20 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawDefensor Sporting
28.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)42.44% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 42.56% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.18% (0.083000000000006 0.08)63.81% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.94% (0.058 0.06)83.05% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.36% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (0.032 0.03)76.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.063999999999993 0.06)29.81% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.079999999999998 0.08)65.89% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 28.33%
    Defensor Sporting 42.44%
    Draw 29.21%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.59%
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.21%
0-1 @ 14.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 42.44%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 12
Defensor
1-1
Maldonado
Navarro (57' pen.)
De Los Santos (40' og.)
Oct 15, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
Maldonado
0-0
Defensor
May 29, 2022 9.30pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
1-1
Maldonado
Labandeira (31')
de los Santos (35'), Elizari (64'), Camargo (89'), Nathael Duarte da Silva (90+6')
Borges (84')
Piriz (26'), Varela (33'), Silva (42'), Rodriguez (61')
Mar 18, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 13
Maldonado
2-1
Defensor
Darias (14'), Javier Nunez Nunez (42')
Gonzalez (20'), Sant'Anna (58'), (80')
Rojo (54')
Lamas (61'), (79')
Nov 11, 2020 9.45pm
Gameweek 4
Maldonado
3-1
Defensor
Cantera (17'), Da Silva (61'), Muniz (82')
Ivanov (3')
Ivanov (11'), Gonzalez (73'), Gonzalez (74')