Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Deportivo Maldonado in this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	La Luz
43.51% ( -0.34)	29.07% ( -0.11)	27.42% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 42.43% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.27% (

0.51)

63.73% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.01% (

0.36)

82.99% (

-0.37)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

0.07)

29.17% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

0.08)

65.12% (

-0.08)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91% (

0.68)

40.09% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26% (

0.61)

76.74% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 43.5%

La Luz 27.42%

Draw 29.07%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	La Luz
1-0 @ 14.4% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 43.5%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.07%	0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.42%