MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 03:51:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio del Parque Liebig's
La Luz
0 - 1
Nacional

Fagundez (29'), Viera (70'), Martirena (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carneiro (67')
Bocanegra (55')
Etchebarne (45+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, November 26 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Wanderers
Sunday, November 26 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
La LuzDrawNacional
18.71% (0.0059999999999967 0.01) 23.65% (0.246 0.25) 57.64% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 47.67% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (-0.952 -0.95)52.04% (0.949 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (-0.829 -0.83)73.77% (0.825 0.83)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.55 -0.55)41.98% (0.54799999999999 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.48 -0.48)78.42% (0.477 0.48)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.438 -0.44)17.83% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (-0.759 -0.76)48.58% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    La Luz 18.71%
    Nacional 57.63%
    Draw 23.64%
La LuzDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 4.86% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.71%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.278 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 11.12% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 57.63%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 13
Nacional
3-0
La Luz
Ramirez (26', 44'), Martinez (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

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