Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Torque
0 - 3
Nacional


Arismendi (24'), Pena (44'), Palacios (66'), Rabunal (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Fagundez (8'), Suarez (27'), Gigliotti (89')
Luis Rodriguez (15'), Castro (43'), Suarez (44')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 3-2 Torque
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Wanderers
Saturday, August 20 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawNacional
31.9% (0.0010000000000012 0)27.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)40.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 48.98% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)56.48% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)77.48% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.24% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)62.66% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 31.9%
    Nacional 40.7%
    Draw 27.38%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.9%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.53%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.7%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 10.30pm
Nacional
1-1
Torque
Fagundez (27')
Rodriguez (35'), Coelho (54'), Fagundez (70'), Repetto (70'), Carballo (84'), Trezza (90+3'), Repetto (90+4')
Arismendi (59')
Pena (23'), Milesi (70'), Arismendi (72'), Morales (90+4')
Nov 4, 2021 12am
Nacional
2-0
Torque
Zunino (45+2'), Almeida (47')
Almeida (9'), Fernandez (45')

Allende (17'), Pizzichillo (39'), Brun (45'), Catarozzi (59')
Jul 11, 2021 10pm
Torque
3-0
Nacional
Rodriguez (45+1'), Cejas (60'), Pizzichillo (69')
Catarozzi (24'), Arismendi (30'), Scotto (82')

Corujo (41')
Feb 11, 2021 12.45am
Torque
1-2
Nacional
Guerrero (69')
Rak (23'), Otormin (28'), Allende (62'), Pizzichillo (76'), Teuten (88'), Coccaro (90+3')
Carballo (41'), Bergessio (43')
Orihuela (7'), Garcia (81')
Aug 20, 2020 9.30pm
Nacional
2-0
Torque
Bergessio (18'), Rivero (33')
Gedoz (37'), Yacob (45'), Carballo (52'), Castro (68'), Suarez (80'), (90+3')

Coccaro (77'), Rodriguez (82')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!