Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Mar 23, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
0 - 0
Progreso

Veron (72', 72', 72', 72')
De Los Santos (19'), De Los Santos (19'), De Los Santos (19'), Varela (63'), Varela (63'), Varela (63'), Zabala (72'), Rivero (83'), Rivero (83'), Rivero (83'), Santander (89'), Polenta (90+7'), Monzon (90+6'), Veron (90+1'), Monzon (90+6'), Veron (90+1'), Monzon (90+6'), Veron (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-8)

Sequeira (20', 20', 20', 20', 40', 40', 40', 40')
Viera (18'), Marta (31'), Mayada (35'), Mayada (35'), Mayada (35'), Colman (60'), Sequeira (66'), Sequeira (66'), Sequeira (66'), Darias (70'), Darias (70'), Darias (70'), Lemmo (87'), Silva (89')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Always Ready (5-4 pen.)
Friday, March 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Progreso

All competitions

Last Game: Progreso 4-3 Racing
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Progreso
50.73% ( -0.09)	25.38% ( 0)	23.88% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.88% (

0.07)

53.12% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

0.06)

74.69% (

-0.06)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.01)

20.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.3% (

-0.01)

53.7% (

0.01)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.71% (

0.11)

37.28% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.93% (

0.11)

74.07% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Nacional 50.72%

Progreso 23.88%

Draw 25.37%

Nacional	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.72%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 23.88%