MX23RW : Monday, May 20 14:41:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Danubio

Sosa (35'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Ramirez (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fracchia (31'), Romero (54'), Ferreira (69'), Goicoechea (90+5'), Goicoechea (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 5-0 Caracas
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDanubio
53.68% (-0.103 -0.1) 26.64% (0.067 0.07) 19.68% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 41.25% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.63% (-0.17 -0.17)61.37% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.73% (-0.127 -0.13)81.27% (0.131 0.13)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.119 -0.12)23.12% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.173 -0.17)56.98% (0.177 0.18)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)46.34% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)81.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.68%
    Danubio 19.68%
    Draw 26.62%
PenarolDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 15.69% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.71% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.68%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Danubio
2-1
Penarol
Lewis (27'), Romero (45+1')
Neris (53')
Coelho (25'), Garcia (29'), Gonzalez (50')
Jul 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
1-0
Penarol
May (61')
Silva (32'), Arguello (51'), Monzon (79')

Aguirregaray (60'), Garcia (76')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
2-0
Danubio
Hernandez (37', 73')
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 5
Penarol
1-1
Danubio
Lozano (68')
Ramos (27'), Rak (41'), Cristoforo (59'), Menosse (61'), Milesi (85'), Viatri (90+4')
Menosse (90+2')
May (32')
Silva (19'), Rea (28'), Bortagaray (38'), Vicente (67')
Vicente (70')
Mar 5, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Danubio
0-1
Penarol

Navarro (45+2'), Fossati (45+3'), Vicente (55'), Hernandez (72'), Sosa (72'), Fernandez (77'), Evans (88')
Bentancourt (90+5' pen.)
Olivera (45+1'), Ramos (53'), Musto (70'), Gargano (85'), Elizalde (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1311202762135
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3Boston RiverBoston River137331813524
4ProgresoProgreso137332421324
5Defensor SportingDefensor136432516922
6Racing de MontevideoRacing135351817118
7Cerro Largo135351413118
8LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers134361317-415
10Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
11River PlateRiver Plate133461519-413
12DanubioDanubio133461217-513
13Rampla JuniorsRampla133371224-1212
14CerroCerro132561323-1011
15FenixFenix132471016-610
16Miramar Misiones121561523-88


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