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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Apr 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Danubio
1 - 1
Progreso

Brazionis (12')
Romero (62'), Piriz (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Poiso (90+5')
Silvera (30'), Colombino (77'), Andrada (86'), Gonzalez (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Progreso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-2 Danubio
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Progreso 3-1 Maldonado
Sunday, March 31 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawProgreso
34.7% (-0.689 -0.69) 28.55% (0.185 0.18) 36.76% (0.506 0.51)
Both teams to score 46.14% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.73% (-0.687 -0.69)60.27% (0.689 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.56% (-0.524 -0.52)80.44% (0.527 0.53)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.806 -0.81)32.74% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.909 -0.91)69.29% (0.911 0.91)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)31.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)67.77% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 34.69%
    Progreso 36.75%
    Draw 28.53%
DanubioDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.69%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.27% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 36.75%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Danubio
0-1
Progreso

Mederos (37'), (79'), Monzon (79'), (84'), Luis Rodriguez (90')
Fritzler (90+2')
Fernandez (42')
Asconeguy (74'), Platero (83'), Peraza (84')
Aug 22, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 7
Progreso
1-0
Danubio
Gottesman (19')
Silva (25'), Loffreda (66'), Loffreda (72')
Loffreda (72')

Nequecaur (25'), Prieto (29'), Pineiro (43')
Siles (45+2')
Oct 19, 2019 8pm
Progreso
2-1
Danubio
Riquero (55'), Gonzalez (68')
Lew (93')
Pantaleone (44')
Labandeira (1'), Pantaleone (16'), Ancheta (24'), Montes (42'), Mederos (68')
Aug 11, 2019 7pm
Progreso
2-0
Danubio
Alles (21' pen., 65')
Andrada (68'), Lew (70'), Asconeguy (78'), Loffreda (85')

Rodriguez (33'), Ghan (51')
Felipe (89')
Mar 31, 2019 8pm
Danubio
3-2
Progreso
Rodriguez (36'), Grossmuller (55' pen.), Chacon (82')
Chacon (40'), Sosa (67'), Ancheta (73'), Acosta (93')
Sosa (68')
Siles (67' og.), Lalinde (86')
Rosso (41'), Sosa (51'), Perez (51'), Riquero (59'), Moreira (90'), Loffreda (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol96211731420
2NacionalNacional96211981120
3Boston RiverBoston River9612139419
4DanubioDanubio9441104616
5Racing de MontevideoRacing935197214
6Rampla JuniorsRampla94231010014
7FenixFenix94141012-213
8Miramar Misiones9342810-213
9Defensor SportingDefensor93331211112
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers93241112-111
11River PlateRiver Plate93241116-511
12Cerro Largo923457-29
13CerroCerro9234814-69
14LiverpoolLiverpool9144710-37
15ProgresoProgreso9135410-66
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9018415-111
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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