Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nacional Brigido Iriarte

Rayo Zuliano
0 - 2
Danubio


Padron (29'), Melean (31'), Colina (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bueno (78'), Fernandez (90+3')
Ancheta (60'), Lewis (81'), Silvestre (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Rayo Zuliano and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Zuliano

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Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-0 Deportivo (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Danubio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Zuliano win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Zuliano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Rayo ZulianoDrawDanubio
43.02% (-0.408 -0.41)28.31% (0.093 0.09)28.67% (0.311 0.31)
Both teams to score 45.06% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22% (-0.191 -0.19)60.77% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-0.144 -0.14)80.82% (0.14 0.14)
Rayo Zuliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.31 -0.31)28.01% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-0.394 -0.39)63.65% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.59% (0.146 0.15)37.4% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.81% (0.144 0.14)74.19% (-0.148 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Zuliano 43.02%
    Danubio 28.67%
    Draw 28.3%
Rayo ZulianoDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 13.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 28.67%