Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Nacional Brigido Iriarte

Rayo Zuliano
0 - 0
Deportivo


Melean (45'), Castro (85')
FT

Luis Perdomo (80'), Gutierrez (90+4')
Rayo Zuliano win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Rayo Zuliano and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Zuliano win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Zuliano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo ZulianoDrawDeportivo La Guaira
37.87% (0.052999999999997 0.05)27.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)34.68% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.79%56.21% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)77.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Rayo Zuliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (0.034000000000006 0.03)28.72% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)30.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)66.94% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Zuliano 37.87%
    Deportivo La Guaira 34.68%
    Draw 27.44%
Rayo ZulianoDrawDeportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.87%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.68%

rhs 2.0


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