Apr 7, 2024 10.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel

Pablo Gonzalez 11'
Maximiliano Noble 13'
Angel Rodriguez 74'
Agustin Alfaro 80'
Hernan Petryk 83'
Agustin Alfaro 88'

Gaston Ramirez 12'
Maximiliano Silvera 72'
Eduardo Darias 79'

Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions

L
W
D
W
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
D
W
L
L

Last game

Mar 31, 2024 7.00pm

Progreso 3 - 1 Maldonado

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Maximiliano Noble

Penarol

All competitions

L
D
W
W
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Mar 29, 2024 7.00pm

Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional

Goals scored

74

Top scorer

Leonardo Fernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.32%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

Deportivo Maldonado 19.86% ▼ (-0.13)

Draw 26.12% ▲ (+0.07)

Penarol 54.02% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score:

42.75% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.46% ▼ (-0.34)

Under 2.5 59.54% ▲ (+0.34)

Over 3.5 20.11% ▼ (-0.26)

Under 3.5 79.89% ▲ (+0.26)

Over 4.5 8.4% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 4.5 91.6% ▲ (+0.15)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 54.95% ▼ (-0.34)

Under 0.5 45.05% ▲ (+0.34)

Over 1.5 19.03% ▼ (-0.27)

Under 1.5 80.97% ▲ (+0.27)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 77.8% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 0.5 22.2% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 1.5 44.39% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 1.5 55.61% ▲ (+0.17)

Score analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 19.86%

Draw 26.12%

Penarol 54.01%

Deportivo Maldonado

1-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.05)

2-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 2.65%

Total : 19.86%

Draw

1-1 @ 12%

0-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.13)

2-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 0.52%

Total : 26.12%

Penarol

0-1 @ 15.05% ▲ (+0.15)

0-2 @ 11.32% ▲ (+0.07)

1-2 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.04)

0-3 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.04)

0-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)

1-4 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.74%

Total : 54.01%

Head to Head

Oct 14, 2023 1.00am

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Centenario

Angel Cayetano 53'
Angel Cayetano 53'
Eduardo Darias 90'+3'
Facundo Tealde 90'+4'
Agustin Alfaro 90'+5'
Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5'
Agustin Alfaro 90'+5'

Lucas Hernandez 16'
Lucas Hernandez 17'
Matias Arezo 30'
Matias Arezo 30'
Maximiliano Olivera 36'
Maximiliano Olivera 37'
Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
Facundo Tealde 90'+5'
Sebastian Rodriguez 90'+5'

Mar 5, 2023 8.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Carlos Sanchez 29'
Matias Arezo 71'

Maximiliano Cantera 25'

Aug 22, 2022 11.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo BurgueÃ±o Miguel

Angel Rodriguez 20'
Diego Romero 36'
Facundo Piriz 38'
Eduardo Darias 57'
Angel Cayetano 61'
Lucas Viatri 70'
Guillermo Reyes 80'
Robinson Ferreira 90'+5'

Hernan Menosse 32'
Yonatthan Rak 47'
Walter Gargano 75'

Jun 19, 2022 9.30pm

1

3

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Domingo BurgueÃ±o Miguel

Eduardo Darias 14'
Sebastian Gonzalez 54'
Ramon Arias 76'
Guillermo Cotugno 87'
Paulo Lima 89'

Damian Musto 44'
Edgarl Elizalde 45'
Ruben Bentancourt 60'
Ignacio Laquintana 74'
Edgarl Elizalde 80'
Pablo Ceppelini 88'
Kevin Dawson 90'+3'
Hernan Menosse 90'+3'

Mar 19, 2022 9.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Juan Ramos 28'
Federico Carrizo 67'
Ruben Bentancourt 76'
Lucas Viatri 80'

Facundo Piriz 22'
Robinson Ferreira 41'
Angel Rodriguez 45'+1'
Guillermo Cotugno 61'
Enzo Borges 68'
Robinson Ferreira 81'

Oct 17, 2021 7.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Domingo BurgueÃ±o Miguel

Federico Ramos 26'
Adolfo Lima 62'
Diego Casas 76'
Tomas Conechny 81'
Eduardo Darias 82'
Facundo Tealde 86'
Federico Ramos 88'

Agustin Alvarez 64'
Walter Gargano 65'
Ruben Bentancourt 82'
Nicolas Gaitan 90'+3'

Form Data

Progreso 3 - 1 Maldonado

Maldonado 1 - 0 Defensor

Wanderers 0 - 0 Maldonado

Liverpool 1 - 2 Maldonado

River Plate 3 - 1 Maldonado

Maldonado 1 - 2 Boston River

Rosario 1 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional

Racing 1 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 3 - 0 Cerro

Rampla 0 - 3 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 0 Miramar Misiones