Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.