Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.