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Matias Zaracho
24'
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Pedrinho
28'
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Alisson Santana
40'
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Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
44'
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Pedrinho
61'
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Guilherme Arana
90'
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Hulk
90'+3'
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Hulk
90'+4'
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Wuilker Farinez Aray
10'
Atletico Mineiro vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 78.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.35%) and 1-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Caracas Goals
Score analysis
3-0 @ 11.35% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 78.51%
0-0 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 14.24%
1-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 7.24%
Head to Head
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Danny Perez
54'
-
Bruno Fuchs
12'
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Guilherme Arana
32'
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Paulinho
44'
-
Paulinho
70'