MX23RW : Sunday, July 21 08:03:37| >> :600:3246509:3246509:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Penarol

Caracas
0 - 1
Penarol


Moreno (68'), Moreno (71'), Tamayo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (26')
Garcia (49')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Caracas 1-1 Rosario
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Penarol
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
CaracasDrawPenarol
29.87% (0.052 0.05) 26.43% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 43.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.04% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.55% (-0.218 -0.22)53.45% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (-0.186 -0.19)74.98% (0.187 0.19)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)32.58% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.084 -0.08)69.12% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.152 -0.15)24.3% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.214 -0.21)58.68% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 29.87%
    Penarol 43.69%
    Draw 26.43%
CaracasDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.87%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.69%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Penarol
5-0
Caracas
Silvera (16', 25', 64'), Mendez (32'), Darias (45')
Darias (18'), Hernandez (59')

Ortega (19')
Casiani (73')
rhs 2.0
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