Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Caracas0 - 1Penarol
Moreno (68'), Moreno (71'), Tamayo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (26')
Garcia (49')
Garcia (49')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Penarol
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
Result | ||
Caracas | Draw | Penarol |
29.87% ( 0.05) | 26.43% ( 0.06) | 43.7% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.55% ( -0.22) | 53.45% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% ( -0.19) | 74.98% ( 0.19) |
Caracas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( -0.07) | 32.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( -0.08) | 69.12% ( 0.08) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( -0.15) | 24.3% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( -0.21) | 58.68% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Caracas 29.87%
Penarol 43.69%
Draw 26.43%
Caracas | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.69% |
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 1am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-27 06:45:44
5pm
Eagles
@
Bengals
5pm
Ravens
@
Browns
5pm
Falcons
@
Buccaneers
5pm
Cardinals
@
Dolphins
5pm
Packers
@
Jags
5pm
Titans
@
Lions
5pm
Jets
@
Patriots
5pm
Colts
@
Texans
8.05pm
Saints
@
Chargers
8.05pm
Bills
@
Seahawks
8.25pm
Panthers
@
Broncos
8.25pm
Chiefs
@
Raiders
8.25pm
Bears
@
Washington
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Liverpool | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
3 | Aston Villa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Arsenal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
9 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
20 | Southampton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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