Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Caracas0 - 1Penarol
Moreno (68'), Moreno (71'), Tamayo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (26')
Garcia (49')
Garcia (49')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Penarol
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caracas | Draw | Penarol |
29.87% ( 0.05) | 26.43% ( 0.06) | 43.7% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
