Apr 30, 2024 12.00am

3

0

HT : 4 0

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Gaston Ramirez 8'
Gaston Ramirez 9'
Byron Castillo 14'
Byron Castillo 14'
Tiago Galletto 23'
Tiago Galletto 24'
Leonardo Fernandez 72'
Leonardo Fernandez 72'
Damian Garcia 79'
Damian Garcia 79'
Javier Mendez 86'
Javier Mendez 86'

Jonathan Barboza 45'
Jonathan Barboza 45'
Agustin Vera 54'
Agustin Vera 54'

Penarol vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
W
D
W
W

Last game

Apr 20, 2024 7.00pm

Boston River 1 - 3 Penarol

Goals scored

74

Top scorer

Leonardo Fernandez

River Plate

All competitions

D
L
W
D
D
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
L
W
D
D
L

Last game

Apr 21, 2024 7.30pm

River Plate 2 - 2 Progreso

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Joaquin Lavega

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

Penarol 60.8% ▼ (-0.24)

Draw 23.27% ▲ (+0.21)

River Plate 15.92% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

43.64% ▼ (-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.35% ▼ (-0.72)

Under 2.5 54.64% ▲ (+0.72)

Over 3.5 24.02% ▼ (-0.61)

Under 3.5 75.98% ▲ (+0.61)

Over 4.5 10.74% ▼ (-0.38)

Under 4.5 89.26% ▲ (+0.38)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 82.36% ▼ (-0.35)

Under 0.5 17.64% ▲ (+0.35)

Over 1.5 51.75% ▼ (-0.60)

Under 1.5 48.25% ▲ (+0.60)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 52.99% ▼ (-0.40)

Under 0.5 47.01% ▲ (+0.40)

Over 1.5 17.51% ▼ (-0.31)

Under 1.5 82.49% ▲ (+0.31)

Score analysis

Penarol 60.8%

Draw 23.27%

River Plate 15.92%

Penarol

1-0 @ 14.38% ▲ (+0.25)

2-0 @ 12.48% ▲ (+0.09)

2-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.05)

3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.10)

4-0 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.06)

4-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.07)

3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.06)

5-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 3.22%

Total : 60.8%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.06)

0-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.23)

2-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 0.56%

Total : 23.27%

River Plate

0-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.11)

1-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.17%

Total : 15.92%

Head to Head

Oct 22, 2023 8.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Agustin Chopitea 61'
Walter Gargano 63'
Maicol Cabrera 73'

Franco Gonzalez 29'
Camilo Mayada 34'
Pedro Milans 56'
Matias Arezo 59'

Jun 18, 2023 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Abel Hernandez 21'

Santiago Brunelli 42'
Faustino Barone 62'
Faustino Barone 68'

Mar 18, 2023 10.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Sebastian Rodriguez 48'

Mar 8, 2023 12.00am

0

4

HT : 0 4

FT

Matias Arezo 8'
Matias Arezo 16'
Pedro Milans Carambula 21'
Pedro Milans 21'
Matias Arezo 75'

Oct 16, 2022 10.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Ruben Bentancourt 64'

Ramiro Cristobal 13'

May 29, 2022 7.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Maxi Pereira 15'
Marcos Montiel 17'
Gustavo Diaz 59'
Santiago Brunelli 64'
Matias Alfonso 69'

Damian Musto 29'
Federico Carrizo 64'
Hernan Menosse 90'

Form Data

Atletico Mineiro 3 - 2 Penarol

Boston River 1 - 3 Penarol

Penarol 2 - 0 Danubio

Penarol 5 - 0 Caracas

Maldonado 1 - 2 Penarol

Rosario 1 - 0 Penarol

River Plate 2 - 2 Progreso

Defensor 2 - 1 River Plate

River Plate 3 - 1 Wanderers

Liverpool 1 - 1 River Plate

Fenix 0 - 0 River Plate

River Plate 1 - 2 Boston River