Copa Libertadores
-
Maximiliano Lovera
29'
-
Agustin Modica
33'
-
Agustin Modica
40'
-
Agustin Modica
57'
-
Francesco Lo Celso
90'+1'
-
Edwuin Pernia
25'
-
Ender Echenique
85'
Rosario Central vs Caracas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
Result
Rosario Central
54.7%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
24.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Caracas
20.35%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
46.49%
▼
(-0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.04%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
54.95%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 3.5
23.76%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
76.23%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
10.58%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
89.41%
▲
(+0.14)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5
79.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
20.06%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
47.71%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
52.29%
▲
(+0.07)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5
58.16%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
41.84%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
21.7%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 1.5
78.29%
▲
(+0.29)
Score analysis
Rosario Central
54.69%
Draw
24.94%
Caracas
20.35%
Rosario Central
1-0
@
13.48%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 54.69%
2-0 @ 10.82% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 54.69%
Draw
1-1
@
11.74%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.94%
0-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.94%
Caracas
0-1
@
7.31%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.35%