MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 18:42:04| >> :600:11158368:11158368:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario
vs.
Caracas

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Argentinos Jrs vs. Rosario
Saturday, May 11 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Caracas 0-1 Penarol
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rosario Central win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for Caracas has a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Caracas win it is 0-1 (6.3%).

Result
Rosario CentralDrawCaracas
60.08% (0.46 0.46) 23.32% (-0.264 -0.26) 16.6% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 44.83% (0.361 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.2% (0.691 0.69)53.79% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73% (0.58 0.58)75.27% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.41% (0.42 0.42)17.59% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.84% (0.722 0.72)48.16% (-0.71700000000001 -0.72)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.4% (0.16200000000001 0.16)45.6% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59% (0.126 0.13)81.41% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 60.08%
    Caracas 16.6%
    Draw 23.31%
Rosario CentralDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.1 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.075 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 16.6%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Caracas
1-1
Rosario
Pernia (25')
Rivas (17'), Perez (34'), Jimenez (79')
Modica (67')
Martinez (79'), Modica (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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