Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.