Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Racing
2 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Veron (20'), De Los Santos (27')
Nandin (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gondou (32')
Veron (23'), Prieto (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 4-2 Racing
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Velez Sarsfield (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.22%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawArgentinos Juniors
18.08% (0.033999999999999 0.03)26.9% (0.013999999999999 0.01)55.02% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)63.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)82.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.58% (0.026999999999999 0.03)84.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.56% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)57.62% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 18.08%
    Argentinos Juniors 55.01%
    Draw 26.89%
Racing de MontevideoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.15% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.08%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 16.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-3 @ 5.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 55.01%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Argentinos Jrs
0-3
Racing

Romero (19'), Galvan (74')
Veron (41', 48'), Urreta (53')
Varela (26'), Veron (77')