Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Corinthians

Argentinos Jrs
1 - 0
Corinthians

Veron (2', 2')
Guede (27'), Guede (27'), Rodriguez (29'), Rodriguez (29'), Veron (38'), Veron (38'), Batallini (52'), Batallini (52'), Godoy (53'), Godoy (53'), Viveros (57'), Viveros (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fagner (26'), Fagner (26'), Raul (88'), Raul (88')
Gustavo (59'), Gustavo (59')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Argentinos Juniors and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Defensa (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawCorinthians
51.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)25.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)23.07% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)54.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (0.029000000000003 0.03)38.91% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (0.026 0.03)75.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 51.32%
    Corinthians 23.07%
    Draw 25.6%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.32%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 23.07%

Head to Head
May 25, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Corinthians
Nuss (78')
Roni (76'), Murillo (84')
Apr 20, 2023 1.30am