Copa Sudamericana
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-
Angel Romero
22'
-
Fagner
45'
-
Yuri Alberto
64'
-
Angel Romero
73'
-
Paulinho
85'
-
Pedro Raul
89'
-
Gustavo Caballero
46'
-
Leandro Meza
50'
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Rodrigo Arevalo
60'
Corinthians vs Club Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
Result
Corinthians
68.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
19.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Club Nacional
12.47%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
47.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
44.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
32.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
67.21%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
16.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
83.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5
87.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
12.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
62.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
37.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
53.84%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
46.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
18.16%
Under 1.5
81.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Corinthians
68.39%
Draw
19.14%
Club Nacional
12.47%
Corinthians
2-0
@
12.45%
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 68.39%
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 68.39%
Draw
1-1
@
9.1%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.14%
0-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.14%
Club Nacional
0-1
@
4.3%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 12.47%
1-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 12.47%