Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Club Nacional
68.4% ( 0.01)	19.14% ( -0)	12.47% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.35% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14% (

0.01)

44.86% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

67.21% (

-0)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.94% (

12.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.44% (

0.01)

37.56% (

-0)

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.84% (

-0)

46.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.16%

81.84% (

Score Analysis

Corinthians 68.39%

Club Nacional 12.47%

Draw 19.14%

Corinthians	Draw	Club Nacional
2-0 @ 12.45% 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.23% Total : 68.39%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.14%	0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 0.96% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.47%