MX23RW : Wednesday, July 24 21:19:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
May 4, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
4 - 2
Racing

Galeano (8'), Bentancourt (43' og.), Izquierdo (79'), Santander (90+1' pen.)
Castro (35'), Oliva (57'), Izquierdo (68'), Veron (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Veron (12'), Mederos (87')
Quinonez (30'), Magallanes (47'), Veron (71'), Varela (86')
Magallanes (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 1-2 Nacional
Sunday, April 28 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Fenix
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRacing de Montevideo
57.78% (-1.038 -1.04) 23.14% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 19.08% (1.014 1.01)
Both teams to score 49.81% (1.684 1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49% (1.335 1.33)49.51% (-1.336 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (1.184 1.18)71.54% (-1.187 -1.19)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.10799999999999 0.11)16.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (0.19600000000001 0.2)46.89% (-0.199 -0.2)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (1.949 1.95)40.08% (-1.951 -1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (1.735 1.74)76.72% (-1.738 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 57.77%
    Racing de Montevideo 19.08%
    Draw 23.13%
NacionalDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 12.03% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.35% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.164 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.077 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 57.77%
1-1 @ 11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.261 0.26)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.276 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.159 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 19.08%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 12am
Gameweek 4
Racing
1-2
Nacional
Rivero (39' pen.)
Vega (42'), Mejia (58'), Varela (81')
Vega (71')
Martinez (25', 57')
Polenta (39'), Ginella (52')
Polenta (63')
Jul 9, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 5
Racing
2-2
Nacional
Veron (45'), Bueno (65')
De Los Santos (26'), Veron (62'), Gorocito (70')
Monzeglio (26'), Rodriguez (52')
Martinez (26'), Lozano (28'), Polenta (90+3'), Rodriguez (90'), Lozano (90+9'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Rodriguez (90+8')
Feb 26, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Racing
Ramirez (7' pen., 30'), Gigliotti (79')
Alaniz (72')
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Nacional
3-0
Racing
Vina (8'), Vecino (78', 80')
Carvalho (35'), Garcia (50'), Zunino (64'), Carballo (91')
Mar 2, 2019 7.30pm
Racing
1-1
Nacional
Sosa (77')
Rodriguez (65'), Arismendi (90')
Ocampo (87')
Cotugno (53'), Pereira (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol632195411
2Defensor SportingDefensor632174311
3Montevideo WanderersWanderers6312109110
4FenixFenix63039819
5River PlateRiver Plate621367-17
6ProgresoProgreso6213710-37
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado613258-36
8Racing de MontevideoRacing612368-25
Group 2
1NacionalNacional64111751213
2DanubioDanubio6321911-211
3Cerro Largo631267-110
4Miramar Misiones6303710-39
5Rampla JuniorsRampla622278-18
6CerroCerro62134407
7Boston RiverBoston River621367-17
8LiverpoolLiverpool610548-43
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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