May 4, 2024 12.00am

4

2

HT : 4 2

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Antonio Galeano 8'
Antonio Galeano 8'
Alexis Castro 35'
Alexis Castro 36'
Ruben Bentancourt 43'
Ruben Bentancourt 44'
Christian Oliva 57'
Christian Oliva 57'
Juan Izquierdo 68'
Juan Izquierdo 68'
Juan Izquierdo 79'
Juan Izquierdo 79'
Tomas Veron 79'
Federico Santander 90'+1'
Federico Santander 90'+1'

Tomas Veron 11'
Tomas Veron 12'
Oscar Quinonez 30'
Oscar Esteban Quinonez Mendoza 31'
Hugo Magallanes 47'
Hugo Magallanes 47'
Tomas Veron 71'
Tomas Veron 71'
Tomas Veron 85'
Jose Varela 85'
Santiago Mederos 86'
Jose Varela 86'
Santiago Mederos 87'
Hugo Magallanes 89'
Hugo Magallanes 89'

Nacional vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

W
W
W
W
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
W
W
D
D

Last game

Apr 28, 2024 10.00pm

Cerro 1 - 2 Nacional

Goals scored

87

Top scorer

Nicolas Lopez

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

W
D
D
W
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
W
D
W
L

Last game

Apr 29, 2024 7.00pm

Racing 2 - 0 Fenix

Goals scored

46

Top scorer

Dylan Nandin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 57.78% ▼ (-1.04)

Draw 23.14% ▲ (+0.03)

Racing de Montevideo 19.08% ▲ (+1.02)

Both Teams to Score:

49.81% ▲ (+1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.49% ▲ (+1.34)

Under 2.5 49.51% ▼ (-1.34)

Over 3.5 28.45% ▲ (+1.19)

Under 3.5 71.54% ▼ (-1.19)

Over 4.5 13.62% ▲ (+0.79)

Under 4.5 86.38% ▼ (-0.80)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 83.12% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 0.5 16.87% ▼ (-0.12)

Over 1.5 53.1% ▲ (+0.20)

Under 1.5 46.89% ▼ (-0.20)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 59.92% ▲ (+1.95)

Under 0.5 40.08% ▼ (-1.96)

Over 1.5 23.28% ▲ (+1.74)

Under 1.5 76.72% ▼ (-1.74)

Score analysis

Nacional 57.77%

Draw 23.13%

Racing de Montevideo 19.08%

Nacional

1-0 @ 12.03% ▼ (-0.63)

2-0 @ 10.7% ▼ (-0.52)

2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.07)

3-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.28)

3-1 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.07)

4-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.12)

3-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.17)

4-1 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.04)

4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.08)

5-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 2.84%

Total : 57.77%

Draw

1-1 @ 11% ▲ (+0.04)

0-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.38)

2-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.27)

Other @ 0.9%

Total : 23.13%

Racing de Montevideo

0-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.28)

0-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.15)

1-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.16)

2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.15)

Other @ 2.15%

Total : 19.08%

Head to Head

Oct 6, 2023 12.00am

1

2

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Centenario

Octavio Rivero 39'
Octavio Rivero 39'
Leandro Vega 42'
Leandro Vega 43'
Luis Mejia 58'
Luis Mejia 58'
Leandro Vega 71'
Leandro Vega 71'
Jose Varela 81'
Jose Varela 81'

Federico Martinez 25'
Federico Martinez 26'
Diego Polenta 39'
Diego Polenta 41'
Francisco Ginella 52'
Francisco Ginella 52'
Federico Martinez 57'
Federico Martinez 57'
Diego Polenta 63'
Diego Polenta 63'

Jul 9, 2023 10.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Centenario

Tomas Veron 45'
Gaston Bueno 65'

Manuel Monzeglio 26'
Yonatan Rodriguez 52'

Feb 26, 2023 11.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Gran Parque Central

Ignacio Ramirez 7'
Ignacio Ramirez 30'
Emmanuel Gigliotti 79'

Agustin Alaniz 72'

Sep 22, 2019 11.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Matias Vina 8'
Felipe Carvalho 35'
Rafael Garcia 50'
Matias Zunino 64'
Thiago Vecino 78'
Thiago Vecino 80'
Felipe Carballo 91'

Mar 2, 2019 7.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Anyelo Rodriguez 65'
Nicolas Sosa 77'
Diego Arismendi 90'

Guillermo Cotugno 53'
Alvaro Pereira 60'
Brian Ocampo 87'

Sep 1, 2018 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Rafael Garcia 52'
Alexis Rolin 89'
Christian Oliva 94'

Gonzalo Ramos 76'
Gonzalo Malan 82'
Pablo Lacoste 95'

Form Data

Cerro 1 - 2 Nacional

Nacional 2 - 1 Tachira

Nacional 6 - 2 Rampla

Miramar Misiones 1 - 2 Nacional

River Plate 2 - 0 Nacional

Nacional 1 - 0 Cerro Largo

Racing 2 - 0 Fenix

Nacional 2 - 2 Racing

Racing 1 - 1 Cerro

Rampla 0 - 1 Racing

Argentinos Jrs 0 - 3 Racing

Racing 1 - 1 Miramar Misiones