Copa Libertadores
Apr 12, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT :
2
0
FT
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
-
Claudio Echeverri
15'
-
Claudio Echeverri
15'
-
Facundo Colidio
90'+3'
-
Facundo Colidio
90'+3'
-
Diego Polenta
57'
-
Diego Polenta
57'
-
Alexis Castro
60'
-
Alexis Castro
60'
-
Gabriel Baez
87'
-
Gabriel Baez
87'
River Plate vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
Result
River Plate
72.71%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
16.92%
▼
(-0.04)
Nacional
10.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
47.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
40.44%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
37.18%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
62.82%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
19.92%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
80.07%
▼
(-0.06)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5
90.27%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
9.72%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
67.61%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
32.39%
▼
(-0.08)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
52.97%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
47.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
17.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
82.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
River Plate
72.69%
Draw
16.92%
Nacional
10.37%
River Plate
2-0
@
12.41%
1-0 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75%
5-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 72.69%
1-0 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75%
5-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 72.69%
Draw
1-1
@
8.04%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 16.92%
0-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 16.92%
Nacional
0-1
@
3.45%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.37%
1-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.37%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
Sergio Rochet
18'
-
Ayrton Cougo
45'+2'
-
Santiago Rodriguez
55'
-
Bruno Zuculini
27'
-
Jorge Carrascal
28'
-
Nicolas De La Cruz
45'
-
Bruno Zuculini
50'
-
Rafael Borre
67'
-
Rafael Borre
74'
-
Rafael Borre
80'
Copa Libertadores
-
Fabricio Angileri
45'
-
Robert Rojas
52'
-
Gonzalo Montiel
66'
-
Bruno Zuculini
90'+7'
-
Emiliano Martinez
13'
-
Armando Mendez
49'
-
Claudio Yacob
90'+2'