Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.86%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.