Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 8.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.73%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.