Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.62%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.