Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Mar 9, 2024 10.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Joaquin Laso 31' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Avalos 38' goal
  • Ivan Marcone 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 86' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Miguel Borja 23'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 61'
  • yellowcard Miguel Borja 85'

Independiente vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 10.00pm
Barracas Central 2 - 2 Independiente
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 7, 2024 12.30am
River Plate 2 - 0 Independiente Rivadavia
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Miguel Borja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 27.28% (-0.48)
Draw 27.42% (-0.04)
River Plate 45.29% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.66% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.65% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 58.34% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 21.04% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 78.96% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 8.94% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 91.06% (+0.07)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 62.8% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 37.2% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 26.01% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 73.99% (+0.46)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 74.3% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 25.7% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 39.39% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 60.61% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Independiente 27.29%
Draw 27.42%
River Plate 45.28%
Independiente
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 27.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.56% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.42%
River Plate
0-1 @ 12.98% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 8.83% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.73% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.36% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.28%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2023 1.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 28' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 28' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 36' goal
  • Miguel Borja 36' goal
  • Enzo Perez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Enzo Perez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 59' goal
  • Miguel Borja 59' goal
  • Manuel Lanzini 80' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lanzini 80' yellowcard
  • Pablo Solari 84' goal
  • Pablo Solari 84' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Gimenez Rojas 31'
  • yellowcard Matias Gimenez Rojas 31'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 56'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 56'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 24, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Ezequiel Barco 17' goal
  • Miguel Borja 80' goal
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Aug 7, 2022 9.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Cazares 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Solari 30'
  • yellowcard Franco Armani 63'
  • goal Matias Suarez 90'+2'
Copa Diego Maradona
Sep 6, 2021 1.15am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jorge Carrascal 19' yellowcard
  • Enzo Perez 52' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 66' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 25'
  • goal Fabricio Bustos 29'
Copa Diego Maradona
Jan 10, 2021 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Rafael Borre 60' yellowcard
  • goal Alan Velasco 25'
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 30'
  • goal Alan Velasco 40'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Jan 19, 2020 10.10pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Libertadores de America
  • Pablo Perez 10' yellowcard
  • Silvio Romero 47' goal
  • Alexander Barboza 53' yellowcard
  • Alexander Barboza 62' redcard
  • Leandro Fernandez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 3'
  • goal Rafael Borre 24'
  • yellowcard Enzo Perez 67'
  • goal Rafael Borre 69'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Fernandez 71'
  • yellowcard Cristian Ferreira 79'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Scocco 91'
  • yellowcard Milton Casco 95'