Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.