Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Apr 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo logo

Nacional
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Baez (32')
Pereyra (20'), Sosa (37'), Baez (39'), Acosta (53'), Zabala (79'), Recoba (80'), Velazquez (85'), Zabala (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (40'), Castro (65'), Formento (75')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
60.3% (-0.134 -0.13)24.27% (0.073 0.07)15.42% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 40.12% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15% (-0.161 -0.16)58.85% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.125 -0.13)79.35% (0.12 0.12)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.113 -0.11)19.4% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.183 -0.18)51.21% (0.179 0.18)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.77% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)50.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)84.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 60.29%
    Cerro Largo 15.42%
    Draw 24.27%
NacionalDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 15.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 60.29%
1-1 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.74% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 15.42%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
2-2
Nacional
Gianoli (18'), Silveira (90')
Viera (14'), Brasil (29'), Santilli (76'), Ferrares (90+6'), Galletto (90+7')
Ramirez (27'), Zabala (86')
Galeano (38'), Fagundez (79')
Fagundez (90+5')
Jul 22, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Fagundez (34')
Ramirez (14'), Morales (62'), Lozano (82')

Gianoli (14'), Galletto (45+8'), Viera (61'), Brasil (90')
Feb 10, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
0-0
Cerro Largo
Sep 25, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-1
Cerro Largo
Gigliotti (54' pen.)
Beltran (69')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
0-0
Nacional
Alvarez (41'), Max (51'), Morales (75'), Bentaberry (81')
Marichal (70'), Rodriguez (87')