Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (11.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.