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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Tachira
0 - 2
River Plate


Benitez (9'), Benitez (10'), Chacon (70'), Chacon (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boselli (72', 72'), Fonseca (79', 79')
Fernandez (7'), Fernandez (7'), Boselli (90+2'), Boselli (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Tachira and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Tachira

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Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Tachira (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
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River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 River Plate
Friday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Deportivo TachiraDrawRiver Plate
26.68% (0.239 0.24)26.08% (-0.501 -0.5)47.24% (0.259 0.26)
Both teams to score 50.04% (1.635 1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (2.032 2.03)53.76% (-2.035 -2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (1.682 1.68)75.24% (-1.684 -1.68)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (1.299 1.3)35.22% (-1.301 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03% (1.333 1.33)71.97% (-1.335 -1.33)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (0.99299999999999 0.99)22.75% (-0.997 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (1.45 1.45)56.44% (-1.453 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Tachira 26.68%
    River Plate 47.24%
    Draw 26.08%
Deportivo TachiraDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.36% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.137 0.14)
3-0 @ 1.52% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 26.68%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.66 -0.66)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.235 0.24)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 11.86% (-0.6 -0.6)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.181 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.119 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 47.24%