Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico

Nacional
2 - 2
Racing

Caballero (36'), Santacruz (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veron (39'), Rivero (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Club Nacional and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

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Last Game: Corinthians 4-0 Nacional
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Cerro
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Club NacionalDrawRacing de Montevideo
38.56% (-0.11 -0.11)27.68% (0.021000000000001 0.02)33.76% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.79% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)57.21% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94% (-0.058 -0.06)78.06% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)28.8% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-0.123 -0.12)64.65% (0.121 0.12)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.22% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 38.55%
    Racing de Montevideo 33.76%
    Draw 27.68%
Club NacionalDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 38.55%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.76%

rhs 2.0


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