Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Criciuma win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Palmeiras
22.35% ( -0.11)	25.61% ( -0.01)	52.04% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.65% (

-0.06)

55.35% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.44% (

-0.05)

76.56% (

0.05)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60% (

-0.15)

40% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.35% (

-0.14)

76.65% (

0.13)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69% (

0.03)

21.31% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74% (

0.04)

54.25% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 22.35%

Palmeiras 52.03%

Draw 25.61%

Criciuma	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.35%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.18% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.03%