Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
34.85% ( -0.13)	26% ( -0.23)	39.15% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

0.95)

50.3% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

0.83)

72.25% (

-0.83)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.38)

27.67% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.48)

63.23% (

-0.48)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

0.63)

25.23% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

0.85)

59.97% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 34.85%

Bahia 39.15%

Draw 26%

Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.15%