Copa do Brasil
May 23, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Heriberto Hulse
  • <TBD> 40' goal
  • <TBD> 78' goal
  • Higor Meritao 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Lucas 48'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 55'
  • yellowcard Luciano 84'
  • goal Carlos de Pena 89'
  • goal Jean Lucas 90'+3'

Criciuma vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Criciuma

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 30, 2024 11.00pm
Bahia 0 - 0 Criciuma

Bahia

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 30, 2024 11.00pm
Bahia 0 - 0 Criciuma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result

Criciuma 34.85% (-0.13)
Draw 26% (-0.23)
Bahia 39.15% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% (+0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.7% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 50.3% (-0.95)
Over 3.5 27.75% (+0.84)
Under 3.5 72.25% (-0.84)
Over 4.5 13.15% (+0.56)
Under 4.5 86.85% (-0.56)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 27.67% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 36.77% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 63.23% (-0.49)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 74.77% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 25.23% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 40.03% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 59.97% (-0.86)

Score analysis

Criciuma 34.85%
Draw 26%
Bahia 39.15%
Criciuma
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 7.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.4% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
Bahia
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 8.51% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.91% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 3.04% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.10)
1-4 @ 1.35% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.05% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.15%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Apr 30, 2024 11.00pm