/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fvaslog.png)
-
Lucas Barbosa
52'
-
Lucas Barbosa
52'
-
Lucas Barbosa
84'
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Lucas Barbosa
84'
-
Luiz Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte
90'+2'
-
Luiz Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte
90'+2'
-
Leo Jardim
90'+8'
-
Jean Carlos
90'+8'
-
Ze Gabriel
3'
-
Ze Gabriel
3'
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Pablo Galdames
32'
-
Pablo Galdames
32'
-
Serginho
70'
-
Serginho
70'
-
Victor Luis
90'+6'
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Victor Luis
90'+6'
Juventude vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F26%2Felton.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.
Result
Juventude
45.91%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
26.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Vasco da Gama
27.19%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
48.03%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.44%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
56.56%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
22.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
77.54%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
9.78%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
90.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5
75.41%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
24.59%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
40.91%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
59.09%
▼
(-0.09)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5
63.69%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 0.5
36.31%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
26.9%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
73.1%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
Juventude
45.9%
Draw
26.91%
Vasco da Gama
27.19%
Juventude
1-0
@
12.52%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.9%
2-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.9%
Draw
1-1
@
12.69%
0-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.91%
0-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.91%
Vasco da Gama
0-1
@
9.05%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.19%
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.19%