Brasileiro | Gameweek 10

Jun 20, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude
2 - 0
Vasco

Barbosa (52', 52'), Jardim (90+8' og.), Carlos (90+8')
Barbosa (84'), Barbosa (84'), Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (90+2'), Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gabriel (3'), Gabriel (3'), Galdames (32'), Galdames (32'), Serginho (70'), Serginho (70')
Luis (90+6'), Luis (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions

Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Vasco da Gama
45.91% ( 0.21)	26.91% ( -0)	27.19% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 48.03% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.44% (

-0.09)

56.56% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.46% (

-0.07)

77.54% (

0.08)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41% (

0.06)

24.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.91% (

0.09)

59.09% (

-0.08)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

-0.22)

36.31% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

-0.22)

73.1% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Juventude 45.9%

Vasco da Gama 27.19%

Draw 26.91%

Juventude	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.9%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.19%